Picking Every Game: College Football Predictions, Week 4 (Saturday Selections)

 

#6 Notre Dame (3-0) at

#14 Wisconsin (1-1)

Noon EST
Soldier Field, Chicago
FOX
Wisconsin -6.5 — O/U 45

This isn’t a rivalry, but it’s going to feel like one. Scheduling this game to be played in Chicago was brilliant, because both fan bases should be equally represented and will be rabid for their team’s success on the field. Add to that the drama of Notre Dame QB Jack Coan, the one-time Wisconsin starter and presumed Davy O’Brien candidate who lost his starting job to Graham Mertz following a preseason foot injury. Now Coan is the unquestioned leader of Notre Dame’s offense and will be lining up across from some of his best friends on Wisconsin’s defense.

And that defense is really the difference in this game. The Badgers just don’t give up many yards or points. Sure, there have only been two games, but one of those was against top competition in Penn State, and the Nittany Lions had to claw for all of their 297 yards and 16 points. Notre Dame, meanwhile, has been in two dogfights — against Florida State and Toledo, neither of which strike fear in the heart of the college football landscape. The two-touchdown win over Purdue also felt a lot closer than it was. Notre Dame is winning, but it’s not really dominating its opponents. It feels like the Irish are playing to the level of their opponents — and that will be a problem against Wisconsin.

I’d love nothing more than to see Coan get the upper hand against his former teammates, and I do expect him to have some success moving the ball on a few sustained drives. But without a rushing attack — and there won’t be much of one against this Badger defense — the Irish will be limited to pass, pass and more pass. It won’t be much different when Wisconsin has the ball, because Notre Dame’s defense is also pretty good. But when two good defenses face off in a game of this magnitude, it’s always wise to side with the one likely to make a play or two that will change the momentum. That slides the scale in Wisconsin’s favor.

Prediction: Wisconsin 23, Notre Dame 20

Record:
This week: SU – 3-2; ATS – 2-2-1; O/U – 3-2-0
Overall: SU – 150-30; ATS – 57-61-3; O/U – 58-60-3

(Results in parentheses)

Saturday, September 25
Matchup Time TV Prediction
#6 Notre Dame (+6.5) vs. #14 Wisconsin (O/U 45)** Noon FOX Wisconsin, 23-20
#2 Georgia (-35) at Vanderbilt (O/U 53) Noon SECN Georgia, 41-10
Missouri (-1.5) at Boston College (O/U 58) Noon ESPN2 Boston College, 33-30
Bowling Green (+31) at Minnesota (O/U 51) Noon ESPNU Minnesota, 45-7
Wagner (NL) at Temple Noon ESPN+ Temple, 41-10
Miami (Ohio) (+7.5) at Army (O/U 48.5) Noon CBSSN Army, 31-20
FIU (+11.5) at Central Michigan (O/U 55.5) Noon ESPN+ Central Michigan, 34-20
Richmond (NL) at Virginia Tech Noon ACCN Virginia Tech, 34-14
#23 LSU (-2.5) at Mississippi State (O/U 57) Noon ESPN LSU, 30-24
Boise State (-9) at Utah State (O/U 70) Noon CBS Boise State, 45-35
Villanova (NL) at #11 Penn State Noon BTN Penn State, 34-14
New Hampshire (NL) at Pittsburgh Noon ESPN+ Pittsburgh, 38-27
Ohio (+14.5) at Northwestern (O/U 48) Noon BTN Northwestern, 35-14
SMU (+9.5) at TCU (O/U 65.5) Noon FS1 TCU, 38-30
Texas Tech (+9) at #21 Texas (O/U 62) Noon ABC Texas, 41-27
Central Connecticut (NL) at Miami (Fla.) Noon ESPN3 Miami, 54-7
UMass (+36) at #20 Coastal Carolina (O/U 65) 1 p.m. ESPN+ Coastal Carolina, 54-14
San Jose State (+2.5) at Western Michigan (O/U 63) 2 p.m. ESPN+ San Jose State, 31-27
Texas State (+6.5) at Eastern Michigan (O/U 62.5) 2 p.m. ESPN+ Eastern Michigan, 34-24
Toledo (-5) at Ball State (O/U 56) 2 p.m. ESPN+ Ball State, 28-24
Washington State (+15) at Utah (O/U 53.5) 2:30 p.m. P12N Utah, 38-20
Maine (NL) at Northern Illinois 2:30 p.m. ESPN3 Northern Illinois, 38-17
#17 Arkansas (+4.5) vs. #4 Texas A&M (O/U 47)* 3:30 p.m. CBS Arkansas, 24-21
Rutgers (+20.5) at #22 Michigan (O/U 49.5) 3:30 p.m. ABC Michigan, 31-14
Wyoming (-30.5) at UConn (O/U 54) 3:30 p.m. CBSSN Wyoming, 41-7
#13 Iowa State (-7) at Baylor (O/U 47.5) 3:30 p.m. FOX Iowa State, 27-17
Colorado State (+23.5) at #8 Iowa (O/U 44.5) 3:30 p.m. FS1 Iowa, 34-14
UTSA (+3) at Memphis (O/U 66.5) 3:30 p.m. ESPNU Memphis, 34-30
#7 Clemson (-10) at N.C. State (O/U 47.5) 3:30 p.m. ESPN Clemson, 24-10
Towson (NL) at San Diego State 3:30 p.m. STAD San Diego State, 41-10
Louisville (-1.5) at Florida State (O/U 61.5) 3:30 p.m. ESPN2 Louisville, 41-27
Illinois (+11) at Purdue (O/U 53) 3:30 p.m. BTN Purdue, 30-20
Kent State (+14.5) at Maryland (O/U 70) 3:30 p.m. BTN Maryland, 41-17
Kansas (+16) at Duke (O/U 57) 4 p.m. ACCN Duke, 41-21
Georgia State (+27) at #18 Auburn (O/U 57) 4 p.m. SECN Auburn, 45-10
Arkansas State (+14) at Tulsa (O/U 62.5) 5 p.m. ESPN+ Tulsa, 34-27
Charleston Southern (NL) at East Carolina 6 p.m. ESPN+ East Carolina, 41-7
Louisiana (-14) at Georgia Southern (O/U 53.5) 6 p.m. ESPN+ Louisiana, 34-17
Buffalo (-13.5) at Old Dominion (O/U 51) 6 p.m. ESPN+ Buffalo, 34-14
UCLA (-5) at Stanford (O/U 58.5) 6 p.m. P12N Stanford, 38-34
Texas Southern (NL) at Rice 6:30 p.m. ESPN3 Rice, 56-7
Tennessee (+18.5) at #12 Florida (O/U 63.5) 7 p.m. ESPN Florida, 38-21
Kentucky (-5) at South Carolina (O/U 48.5) 7 p.m. ESPN2 Kentucky, 24-20
Nebraska (+5) at Michigan State (O/U 52) 7 p.m. FS1 Michigan State, 27-20
North Texas (+11) at Louisiana Tech (O/U 64.5) 7 p.m. STAD Louisiana Tech 44-27
#24 Kansas State (+5.5) at #25 Oklahoma State (O/U 46.5) 7 p.m. ESPN+ Oklahoma State, 27-23
Navy (+19) at Houston (O/U 48) 7 p.m. ESPNU Houston, 35-14
#15 North Carolina (+12.5) vs. Georgia Tech (O/U 63.5)*** 7:30 p.m. ACCN North Carolina, 34-20
Southern Miss (+45.5) at #1 Alabama (O/U 58.5) 7:30 p.m. SECN Alabama, 48-7
West Virginia (+17) at #2 Oklahoma (O/U 55.5) 7:30 p.m. ABC Oklahoma, 38-24
Akron (+48.5) at #9 Ohio State (O/U 66.5) 7:30 p.m. BTN Ohio State, 56-10
Hawaii (-17) at New Mexico State (O/U 62.5) 8 p.m. Bally Hawaii, 41-27
Indiana (-9) at Western Kentucky (O/U 62.5) 8 p.m. CBSSN Indiana, 41-24
Troy (-24) at Louisiana-Monroe (O/U 50) 8 p.m. ESPN+ Troy, 37-10
FAU (+4) at Air Force (O/U 54) 8 p.m. FS2 Air Force, 24-21
UAB (+3.5) at Tulane (O/U 54.5) 8 p.m. ESPN+ Tulane, 31-23
New Mexico (-1) at UTEP (O/U 54) 9 p.m. ESPN+ New Mexico, 31-27
California (+7.5) at Washington (O/U 46.5) 9:30 p.m. P12N Washington, 27-17
USF (+23) at #19 BYU (O/U 54) 10:15 p.m. ESPN2 BYU, 38-13
Arizona (+28.5) at #10 Oregon (O/U 59) 10:30 p.m. ESPN Arizona, 44-14
Oregon State (+11) at USC (O/U 62) 10:30 p.m. FS1 USC, 37-23
Colorado (+14) at Arizona State (O/U 45) 10:30 p.m. ESPNU Arizona State, 24-17

* — at Soldier Field, Chicago
* — Southwest Classic at AT&T Stadium, Arlington, Texas
*** — at Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta

Friday, September 24
Matchup Time TV Prediction
Middle Tennessee (+3) at Charlotte (O/U 56) 6:30 p.m. CBSSN Charlotte, 27-21
(Charlotte, 42-39)
Wake Forest (+3.5) at Virginia (O/U 68.5) 7 p.m. ESPN2 Virginia, 31-27
(Wake Forest, 37-17)
Liberty (-6.5) at Syracuse (O/U 54) 8 p.m. ACCN Liberty, 28-23
(Syracuse, 24-21)
UNLV (+30.5) at Fresno State (O/U 59.5) 10 p.m. CBSSN Fresno State, 41-14
(Fresno State, 38-30)
Thursday, September 23
Matchup Time TV Prediction
Marshall (+7) at Appalachian State (O/U 59) 7:30 p.m. ESPN Appalachian State, 41-27
(Appalachian State, 31-30)
Copyright © 2021 Doug DeBolt
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About Douglas Blaine

Capnpen is a writer who was a newspaper and magazine journalist in a previous life. A college journalism major, he now works as an English teacher, but gets his writing fix by blogging about a variety of topics, including politics, religion, movies and television. When he's not working or blogging, Capnpen spends time with his family, plays a little golf (badly) and loves to learn about virtually anything.
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